空頭市場也有ETF可以做嗎?

CaptainSoar

社團文章...

大盤在弱勢的時候,不一定只能觀望或是等待,可以直接放空大盤,也有反向的標的物可以操作。反向的ETF並不難搜尋,下面的網站就可以找到可以操作的反向ETF。
[找尋名單]  
倍數空頭 http://www.tradermike.net/inverse-short-etfs-bearish-etf-funds/
倍數多頭 https://www.stocktrader.com/long-etfs-bullish-etf-funds-2x-3x-leverage/


[操作說明]
標的數量相當多,而且從一倍到三倍的反向ETF都有,在當日跌勢猛烈的時候,常常發揮到意想不到的獲利。但是這類型的ETF適合長期持有嗎? 我認為並不適合,請看下面的比較表。
SPY vs SH
SPY為S&P500 指數的ETF
SH為S&P500 指數ETF一倍做空


在大盤一開始下跌的時候,SH上漲的比例超過SPY下跌的比例。但是再過一陣子之後,SPY持續探底,但是SH卻無法達到更高的報酬。
這個原因就出在反向ETF是以一日當做基準,以當日變化按照倍數作為該ETF的報酬。
舉個簡單的例子說明,起始資金100,每天下跌10%,反向ETF在第五天累積利潤為+46.41%,同比單純放空標的物只會賺到+34.39%。這其中的差異就在於"複利"的效應,連續下跌的時候,反向ETF連同前面賺的一起放大獲利。

 

起始資金100 Day 反向一倍
100 1 100
90 (-10%) 2 110 (+10%)
81 (-10%) 3 121 (+10%)
72.9 (-10%) 4 133.1 (+10%)
65.61 (-10%) 5 146.41 (+10%)


再舉個簡單的例子說明,起始資金100,頭兩天各上漲10%,後兩天各跌10%,反向ETF在第五天累積虧損-1.99%,同比單純放空標的物會賺到+1.99%

起始資金100 Day 反向一倍
100 1 100
110 (+10%) 2 90 (-10%)
121 (+10%) 3 81(-10%)
108.9 (-10%) 4 89.1(+10%)
98.01 (-10%) 5 98.01(+10%)


透過上面的兩個簡單的例子可以得知,反向倍數的標的物並不適合長期持有操作,但是在短線上連續下跌的跌勢,就有操作它的空間。在做對沖基金的時候,就可以藉由這類的標的物做對沖避險。


[名單整理]
下面列出反向ETF的名單

Short (1x), UltraShort (2x), UltraPro (3x) MarketCap ETFs:

ETF Name Ticker Benchmark Index
Short QQQ PSQ Nasdaq-100
Short Dow 30 DOG DJIA
Short S&P 500 SH S&P 500
Short Mid Cap 400 MYY S&P Mid Cap 400
Short Small Cap 600 SBB S&P Small Cap 600
Short Russell 2000 RWM Russell 2000
UltraShort QQQ QID Nasdaq-100
UltraShort Dow 30 DXD DJIA
UltraShort S&P 500 SDS S&P 500
UltraShort Mid Cap 400 MZZ S&P Mid Cap 400
UltraShort Small Cap 600 SDD S&P Small Cap 600
UltraShort Russell 2000 TWM Russell 2000
UltraPro Short QQQ SQQQ Nasdaq-100
UltraPro Short Dow 30 SDOW DJIA
UltraPro Short S&P 500 SPXU S&P 500
UltraPro Short Mid Cap 400 SMDD S&P Mid Cap 400
UltraPro Short Russell 2000 SRTY Russell 2000

UltraShort (2x) Style:

ETF Name Ticker Benchmark Index
UltraShort Russell1000 Value SJF Russell 1000 Value
UltraShort Russell1000 Growth SFK Russell 1000 Growth
UltraShort Russell Mid Cap Value SJL Russell Mid Cap Value
UltraShort Russell Mid Cap Growth SDK Russell Mid Cap Growth
UltraShort Russell 2000 Value SJH Russell 2000 Value
UltraShort Russell 2000 Growth SKK Russell 2000 Growth
 
黃金白銀ETF   Gold and Silver ETFs / ETNs:
ETF Name Ticker
ProShares Ultra Silver AGQ
ProShares UltraShort Silver ZSL
ProShares Ultra Gold UGL
ProShares UltraShort Gold GLL
DB Gold Short ETN DGZ
DB Gold Double Short ETN DZZ

Direxion 3x Inverse ETFs:

ETF Name Ticker Benchmark Index
Daily S&P 500 Bear 3x Shares SPXS S&P 500 Index
Daily Mid Cap Bear 3x MIDZ S&P Mid Cap 400 Index
Daily Small Cap Bear 3x TZA Russell 2000
Daily Energy Bear 3x ERY Energy Select Sector Index
Daily Financial Bear 3x FAZ Russell 1000 Financial Services
Daily Gold Miners Bear 3x DUST NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index
Daily Junior Gold Miners Bear 3x JDST Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners Index
Daily Natural Gas Related Bear 3x GASX ISE Revere Natural Gas Index
Daily Real Estate Bear 3x DRV MSCI US REIT Index
Daily Semiconductor Bear 3x SOXS PHLX Semiconductor Sector Index
Daily Technology Bear 3x TECS Technology Select Sector Index
Daily Brazil Bear 3x BRZS MSCI Brazil 25-50 Index
Daily FTSE China Bear 3x YANG FTSE China 25 Index
Daily FTSE Europe Bear 3x EURZ FTSE Developed Europe Index
Daily Developed Markets Bear 3x DPK MSCI EAFE Index
Daily Emerging Markets Bear 3x EDZ MSCI Emerging Markets Index
Daily Russia Bear 3x RUSS Market Vectors Russia Index
Daily Japan Bear 3x JPNS MSCI Daily TR Net Japan USD Index
Daily South Korea Bear 3x KORZ MSCI Korea 25-50 Index
Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bear 3x TYO NYSE 7-10 Year Treasury Bond Index
Daily 20 year Plus Treasury Bear 3x TMV NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index

 

 


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